Chamisa must be worried by MDC-T primaries turnout

Chamisa must be worried by MDC-T primaries turnout
Published: 27 May 2018 (167 Views)
On a school gate in the Harare West council elections, a hand-written note details the results of MDC municipal primary elections. The winner, by far, was abstention.

Barely a third of the registered voters in this working class neighbourhood bothered to cast a ballot at the school, which doubled up as a polling station.

The dismal turnout in the primary elections could spell trouble for MDC leader Nelson Chamisa, who boasts that he is confident of winning the general elections.

MDC spokesperson Tabitha Khumalo claimed the low turnout was caused by Zanu-PF intimidation tactics.

"The low turnout is as a result of intimidation, we heard such statement from deputy Finance minister (Terrence Mukupe) who said the army will not allow MDC president Nelson  Chamisa to lead this country  such statements have negative  effects in rural areas.

"Obviously the numbers will increase during the harmonised elections but Zanu-PF has started to intimidate people across the country. Zanu-PF preaches peace and practises violence," Khumalo said.

Analysts said the MDC must be wary of low voter turnout which characterised their primaries.

"It’s foolhardy to ignore the numbers. The numbers are indicative of a party with more sympathisers than registered members unlike Zanu-PF that has more registered members than sympathisers.

"A party is guaranteed of votes and the numbers during voting from its registered members than sympathisers whose allegiance is porous and shifts from time to time," political analyst Maxwell Saungweme said.

"You can’t bank on sympathisers and a party’s campaign is faulty if it generates millions at rallies and a few hundred registered members participate in primaries.

"This lends credibility to Zanu-PF’s 'dandemutande’ strategy as it recorded big numbers at its primaries. Also since this election is going to be rigged, those poor numbers can make MDC competitor argue with a degree of credibility that the poll was not rigged and MDC had poor showing even based on its primaries.

"Current divisions in MDC Alliance also don’t help. Poor membership drive had been MDC’s undoing since 2013 when its current president was doing 'scientific organising’ that had very little membership drive. MDC need to urgently do their own variation of dandemutande membership recruitment drive. Rallies yes, but also membership drive to get assured of committed voters," he added.

Another political analyst Shakespear Hamauswa said the opposition party must strengthen its structures so that they can mobilise and recruit more supporters ahead of the 2018 elections.

"I think this year, the turnout for MDC was better because previously they used to allow only those in party structures to vote. However, MDC needs to strengthen its structures.

"There is need for a rebirth to its systems and structures through rigorous training of leaders on issues such as voter mobilisation.

"For instance, this year the party allows all card-carrying members to vote but one can find neighbours to an aspiring candidate not even aware that someone within their street is campaigning for a political office."

Hamauswa said the MDC must investigate what caused the low turnout.

"The low turnout is a result of many factors which require investigations especially by the MDC-T party itself. Some are saying they thought only those in structures will vote as has been the tradition.

"Therefore, the current figures might not lead to concrete conclusions regarding how the party will perform in the coming elections.

"Inferences can, however, be made with regard to cases where the number of total voters was lower than the expected number of those in structures.

"Lastly, voters are always not willing and unable to buy membership cards thereby becoming ineligible to vote.  Some they still fear being victimised for being on the list of MDC members. So the factors are multiple," Hamauswa added.

- dailynews

 0

You May Like These Videos

Comments

There are no comments.

Latest stories

'I am used to these attempts,' says Mnangagwa

by AFP | 23 June 2018 | 296 Views

Mnangagwa's Zambian connection clarified

by Staff reporter | 23 June 2018 | 229 Views

Voters' roll row spills into Supreme Court

by Staff reporter | 23 June 2018 | 224 Views

Chidyausiku's widow sues JSC over terminal benefits

by Staff reporter | 23 June 2018 | 143 Views

'Zimbabwe elections, a delayed match'

by staff reporter | 23 June 2018 | 102 Views

Mnangagwa's ally sinks in debt

by Staff reporter | 23 June 2018 | 116 Views

WATCH: Where the Mnangagwa grenade came from

by Staff reporter | 23 June 2018 | 323 Views

Chiwenga's wife injured in grenade attack

by Ndou Paul | 23 June 2018 | 186 Views

Advice to MDC Allians:Know what to oppose and what to support

by Erick Matotoba | 23 June 2018 | 132 Views

BREAKING: Assassination attempt at Mnangagwa, Chiwenga in Bulawayo

by Staf reporter | 23 June 2018 | 190 Views

Mohadi, Muchinguri injured in Bulawayo bomb explosion

by Staff reporter | 23 June 2018 | 156 Views

Mujuru revives campaign rallies

by Staff reporter | 23 June 2018 | 104 Views

Chamisa victory not guaranteed, dynamics long changed

by newzimbabwe | 23 June 2018 | 129 Views

Mnangagwa campaign crews refuse to pay parking fees

by Staff reporter | 23 June 2018 | 110 Views

Mnangagwa is a different person, he has learned

by BBC | 23 June 2018 | 123 Views

Who wanted to kill Mnangagwa?

by Staff reporter | 23 June 2018 | 156 Views

Zimbabwe President survives bomb explosion

by BBC | 23 June 2018 | 103 Views

Mnangagwa is a shameless liar, says Jonathan Moyo

by Ndou Paul | 23 June 2018 | 116 Views

Second Lady 'hospitalised' after Bulawayo explosion

by Staff Reporter | 23 June 2018 | 144 Views

Mnangagwa visits injured victims after Bulawayo explosion

by Ndou Paul | 23 June 2018 | 78 Views

8 injured in Mnangagwa assassination attempt

by Staff reporter | 23 June 2018 | 76 Views

Khupe appraises candidates on campaign strategy

by Staff reporter | 23 June 2018 | 84 Views

One of Mnangagwa's VPs injured in Zim explosion

by AFP | 23 June 2018 | 69 Views

US condemns attempt on Mnangagwa's life

by Ndou Paul | 23 June 2018 | 79 Views

Chamisa should stop spreading 'fake news'

by Knowledge Moyo | 22 June 2018 | 366 Views

Presidential elections 2018 ballot specimen

by social media | 22 June 2018 | 390 Views

Government to float $150m housing bond

by Staff Reporter | 22 June 2018 | 233 Views

Chaos at ZEC meeting

by Staff reporter | 22 June 2018 | 322 Views

Mnangagwa stop lying there is no democracy in Zimbabwe

by Khulani David Ndhlovu | 22 June 2018 | 216 Views

'He wants my pregnant wife'

by Staff reporter | 22 June 2018 | 255 Views

Mutsvangwa calls for CSOs to let bygones be bygones

by Stephen Jakes | 22 June 2018 | 201 Views

Appointment of Zimbabwe judges opens can of worms

by Staff reporter | 22 June 2018 | 207 Views

Nkosana Moyo's unorthodox campaign plan unpacked

by Tinashe Kairiza | 22 June 2018 | 224 Views

Maphosa seeks safe haven in Zimbabwe

by Staff reporter | 22 June 2018 | 233 Views

Parties, media to witness ballot paper printing

by Staff reporter | 22 June 2018 | 182 Views